메뉴 건너뛰기

XEDITION

Board

By Marcela Ayres

BRASILIA, Feb 2 (Reuters) - Brazil's central bank on Wednesday raised interest rates by 150 basis points for the third time in a row, but signaled a smaller rate hike at its next meeting, as many private economists expect policymakers to wrap up the tightening cycle in coming months.

The bank's rate-setting committee, known as Copom, decidedly unanimously to raise its benchmark interest rate to 10.75%, as forecast by 27 of 29 economists in a Reuters poll.

It was the eighth straight rate hike since policymakers began raising the Selic rate last March from a record-low 2%, kicking off the world's most aggressive current hiking cycle as inflation soared to 10.1% in 2021 from 4.5% in 2020.

Brazilian rates are now at their highest level since early 2017, as the central bank tackles high commodity prices and a questionable fiscal outlook as President Jair Bolsonaro proposes cutting fuel taxes as he gears up for an October election.

The central bank reaffirmed its intention to extend the monetary tightening "significantly" into restrictive territory and stick to its strategy until it sees disinflation "consolidate" and inflation expectations anchored near targets.

Still, policymakers suggested they would pare back the size of their next rate hike in March.

"For its next steps, the Committee foresees as adequate, at this moment, a reduction in the pace of adjustment of the interest rate," Copom wrote in the statement of their rate decision.

That could mean a final interest rate hike of 100 basis points in March to end the tightening cycle, said Felipe Salles, chief economist at C6 Bank.

"It was a surprise to see the indication of a reduced 'pace' - we didn't expect that. We thought the central bank would keep some flexibility and leave the door open for March," said Gustavo Ribeiro, chief economist at Asa Investments.

"In our view, it increases the chance of the cycle extending past March," he added.

José Francisco Gonçalves, chief economist at Fator, also forecast a March rate hike of 100 basis points, followed by a final increase of 50 basis points in May.

Despite a 5% rebound for Brazil's currency last month and a dimming outlook for economic growth this year, which should cool price pressures, 에볼루션게이밍 2022 inflation forecasts rose in recent weeks to 5.38% in the latest central bank poll of private economists.

That would be well above the 3.5% target for this year, but down sharply from 10.2% in the 12 months through mid-January.

In its statement on Wednesday, Copom stressed that the "relevant horizon" for its monetary policy "includes 2022 and, to a larger degree, 2023," which some took as a dovish signal that the bank was looking past the current inflation spike.

The consensus outlook for 2022 economic growth in the central bank's weekly poll has tumbled to 0.3% after gross domestic product data showed Brazil's economy entered a recession last year.

However, policymakers flagged in their Wednesday statement that fourth-quarter growth indicators "posted a slightly better than expected evolution, especially in labor market data." (Reporting by Marcela Ayres, additional reporting by Jose de Castro; Editing by Brad Haynes and Aurora Ellis)



/>
번호 제목 글쓴이 날짜 조회 수
59576 Do Away With Traveling To Israel Issues As Soon As And For All FelicaNez59483278 2021.07.23 2
59575 Jason Sudeikis Stands Out In Bright Sweater While Out And About In NYC Jung83M43696696956 2021.07.23 2
59574 Máy Hủy Giấy MagdaBaylor54660043 2021.07.23 2
59573 Why Everybody Is Speaking About Buy Share...The Easy Reality Revealed MinervaMcIntosh 2021.07.23 2
59572 Taxis Lyon Aéroport LinnieVogler3110 2021.07.23 2
59571 Chapeaux Canotier Look Invité De Mariage EarthaBridges45 2021.07.23 2
59570 WordPress Hata Ayıklama DaniloSuh4778508 2021.07.23 2
59569 Best Quality Verified VCS-413 Practice Test KathieButcher1867079 2021.07.23 2
59568 Tips For Squeezing The Maximum Enjoyment From Wine MyraDevries746015 2021.07.23 2
59567 Solutions About Drawing ShermanSchneider999 2021.07.23 2
59566 Our Favorite Prime Day 2021 Deals Still Available: Roku, Chromebooks And More Still On Sale VioletteKuhn8033 2021.07.23 2
59565 Slotxo JuniorBoldt06741113 2021.07.22 2
59564 Ataşehir Escort LillieQcx4096589970 2021.07.22 2
59563 Pendik Escort USJHumberto2215848992 2021.07.22 2
59562 Esenyurt Escort CSYSven27033080511391 2021.07.22 2
59561 Suggestions And Strategies For Uplifting Landscaping Models For Your House! MichaleDurkin432525 2021.07.22 2
59560 Truc Tiep Vtc3 SimonSilas3743623256 2021.07.22 2
59559 Best Quality Verified SY0-601 Practice Exam DominikUmt64589 2021.07.22 2
59558 Mecidiyeköy Escort GUUVictoria86776 2021.07.22 2
59557 üsküdar Escort CareyR988954494023 2021.07.22 2
위로